Premier League predictions computer makes surprise forecasts for Chelsea, Newcastle United and Everton while victories expected for Man United, Liverpool and Arsenal
Both sides lost their most recent league outings as the Reds were beaten 1-0 at Nottingham Forest while Jesse Marsch’s side suffered a 3-2 defeat at home to Fulham.
Liverpool bounced back with a 3-0 win over Ajax in the Champions League on Wednesday evening and data experts are tipping Jurgen Klopp’s side to make it two wins in a row when they welcome Leeds to Anfield.
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Hide AdData boffins at FiveThirtyEight make their predictions by using their ratings for each team and then simulating fixtures thousands of times to produce the likelihood of every possible outcome for each game.
The probability of a Liverpool win over Leeds is rated at 78 per cent while wins are expected for the division’s top two sides Man City and Arsenal when they take on Leicester City and Nottingham Forest respectively.
FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers to predict the most likely outcome in every game this weekend. See their predictions below...
FiveThirtyEight’s Premier League predictions
Match | Home win | Draw | Away win |
Leicester v Man City | 11% | 16% | 73% |
Newcastle v Aston Villa | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Crystal Palace v Southampton | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Bournemouth v Tottenham | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Brighton v Chelsea | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Brentford v Wolves | 46% | 26% | 29% |
Fulham v Everton | 41% | 26% | 34% |
Liverpool v Leeds | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Arsenal v Nottingham Forest | 76% | 16% | 7% |
Man United v West Ham | 54% | 24% | 22% |