Super-computer on where Bradford City, Doncaster Rovers, Swindon Town, Carlisle United and Harrogate Town will finish in League Two
Using their ratings for each team, they simulate seasons thousands of times to produce their prediction for each side’s final points tally and league position.
Meanwhile, inconsistent Doncaster Rovers are being tipped to mix out on the play-offs, but there is succour for Harrogate Town, who are being predicted to still be an EFL club and avoid relegation come late spring.
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Hide AdCity, who could have moved into the automatic promotion slots if they had beaten Northampton on Saturday, are tipped to where they are currently in the table - fifth.
They are given a 37 per cent chance of promotion through the play-offs and 28 per cent chance of promotion.
Currently in tenth, Rovers - who produced a wretched weekend performance at lowly Colchester - are backed to finish in their present-day placing and finish adrift of the play-off spots.
Danny Schofield's side are given a 23 per cent chance of promotion via the play-offs and 13 per cent chance of promotion.
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Hide AdRichie Wellens's Leyton Orient are tipped to finish as champions, according to the latest data, with Northampton – who were outstanding in their weekend win at Bradford - and Steve Evans' Stevenage filling the other top automatic promotion positions.
Meanwhile, the boffins believe that Harrogate Town will escape relegation to the Conference by the skin of their teeth.
They are predicted to finish in 22nd place, two below their current placing with 45 points, ahead of second-from-bottom Gillingham on goal difference. They are given a 30 per cent chance of relegation.
Here is an explanation as to how the model works https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-club-soccer-predictions-work/
The predicted League Two table
Team | Predicted points |
Leyton Orient | 91 |
Northampton | 84 |
Stevenage | 79 |
Swindon | 74 |
Bradford City | 73 |
Carlisle | 71 |
Barrow | 71 |
Salford | 69 |
Mansfield | 68 |
Doncaster | 67 |
Tranmere | 64 |
Wimbledon | 64 |
Stockport | 64 |
Walsall | 62 |
Crewe | 60 |
Grimsby | 60 |
Newport | 55 |
Sutton | 54 |
Crawley | 51 |
Colchester | 50 |
Rochdale | 47 |
Harrogate | 45 |
Gillingham | 43 |
Hartlepool | 38 |